Best Craps Betting Strategy
A great way to practice this game is to play at an online casino with less distractions first. This way you can learn the game before you end up losing your money to bad betting strategies. Best Craps Bets. I should tell you right away that the best craps bet is the 'don't pass' bet with the free odds bet. Craps can be one of the best bets in the casino or one of the worst. It all depends on how you play and which of the many bets you focus on. For example, the ‘Pass’ and ‘Don’t Pass’ lines have a house edge of 1.41% and 1.36% respectively. On the other end of the spectrum the ‘Any Craps’ bet that.
Thread Rating:
READ the descriptions in videos as some of them do not have sound should be a description of each strategy there
1 www. youtube.com/watch?v=iy3gUv9HxDI
2 www. youtube.com/watch?v=R4YwIWb2i-8
3. www. youtube.com/watch?v=_Dh0uwZnF_k
4. www. youtube.com/watch?v=hpFq9IZrkS8
5. www. youtube.com/watch?v=zy6-wGLYCbI
Let me know which is your guys favorite please
Also if anyone is up for the challenge can you run the math on first strategy and tell me how often it will win and lose stopping point is 500$ profit or loss of bankroll
These are the best strategies I’ve come up with for craps
a strategy has been talked about before at these forums but to me it looks like all your videos are about craps SYSTEMS.'Absolute Best Craps Strategy!/Monacout Craps'
Craps Strategy Tips
'Amazing strategy to win money at casino,'thanks for the share
youtube videos that are less than 10 minutes get more and longer views
than videos longer than 10 minutes. (excludes ones with naked people in them)
do you have a winning strategy for playing Blackjack?
I do not have a favorite of yours and I like the 'buy the dpass and dcome bets players do not want on the 6&8 or sometimes the 5&9'
well good luck fishing!
Administrator
I know all casino games are favored for house but I’m curious to see the math on the first strategy posted if anyone is able to compute I’ id like to see how often youed lose before reaching 500$ profit
Hi and welcome to the forum. I'll forgive and fix up your youtube links, so that members can more easily analyse and tear them to shreds.
1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iy3gUv9HxDI
2 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R4YwIWb2i-8
3. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Dh0uwZnF_k
4. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hpFq9IZrkS8
5. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zy6-wGLYCbI
Note: This forum and this post does not endorse any of these fun ways of losing money.
Now, some good news and some bad news...
Bad news first....
Betting systems like yours are, on average, of no monetary value to the player. They will get torn to shreds on a forum where members understand that. If your 'systems' enhance the fun of playing, then 'all power to your elbow'
Good news....
You can estimate your probability of reaching $500 profit very, VERY easily with OnceDear's rule of thumb.
All you need to know is how much bankroll you are going to make available to it.
OnceDear's rule of thumb applies to any money management system and to any game.
Bonus Good news...
If you apply a $1,000,000 bankroll with your system, you would be very likely to make $500 before losing your bankroll. Whoopdy Doo.
Bonus Bad news...
You've stumbled onto a forum that gives short shrift to money management systems.
Regards,
OD
A strategy is something you use to win money while playing a game; a system is something you sell to chumps who take your seminars and believe you walk on water.
Always split aces and eights or always compare dealers hole card to your hand are hardly 'systems' but are senstible rules to follow.
Craps bet selections can be based on anything. A hot table can switch to cold in one toss. counting the unfastened buttons on passing women can probably make a good bit of money at some time. betting with drunkscan work also.. yet more sensible strategies are likely to endure.
Administrator
... counting the unfastened buttons on passing women can probably make a good bit of money at some time.
I like the idea of that one. 'Noooo. I'm not staring at your breasts: It's just an essential part of my betting system.'Also if anyone is up for the challenge can you run the math on first strategy and tell me how often it will win and lose stopping point is 500$ profit or loss of bankroll
Four questions:
1. What is the initial bankroll? The higher the bankroll-to-stopping-point ratio, the more likely it is to 'win.' Betting 35 numbers on single-zero roulette 'wins' 35 times out of 37.
2. What are the initial bets? They're not listed in the description.
3. What bets do you maintain while you are ahead? You only switch to field & seven when you are behind.
4. Once you lose two bets in a row, do you maintain your 200 bet on the field, or is it just a bet on Seven?
I'm trying to see if there is an easy way to do 'the math' (it looks like a Risk of Ruin against a given mean and standard deviation may have to be used), but doing some quick simulations with various starting bankrolls and betting only with field and seven bets, I noticed something strange; the higher your starting bankroll is, the higher your expected loss is. The probability of winning goes up as the bankroll increases, but it seems to cap at somewhere around 73%.
If you start with $1000, the probability of winning is about 50%, so the expected loss is $250.
If you start with $2000, the probability of winning is about 5/8, so the expected loss is $438.
Come Bet In Craps Strategy
If you start with $10,000, the probability of winning is about 72%, so the expected loss is $2440.
I’m writing a series of blog posts about casino games and the good and bad strategies for playing those games.
Craps is one of my favorite casino games, so I’ve been looking forward to writing this one.
And the beautiful thing about craps is that it’s a game of pure chance. The best strategy is just to choose the bets with the lowest edge for the house and have fun.
But I’ll have some things to say about some of the strategies and systems that other writers promote, too.
They’re mostly bad craps strategies.
Here’s the Only Craps Strategy You Need
When you’re dealing with an entirely random game – like craps – the only strategy that matters is choosing the bets with the lowest house edge and having fun.
I’ll have something to say about shooters and whether they have control over the outcomes later in this post, but for now, let’s just agree that games like craps are purely chance.
In other games that are entirely random, like slot machines, you don’t even really need to decide which bet to place. It’s chosen for you before you sit down.
When playing craps for real money, you have a handful of good bets you can make, but most of the bets on the table are bad. Just skip the bad bets, and you’re all set.
The Bests Bets at the Craps Table
The best bets at the craps table are the pass line bet and the don’t pass bet.
The come and don’t come bets are also great wagers.
I always advise casino gamblers to try to limit their gambling to games where the house edge is lower than 2% — preferably 1.5% or lower.
The house edge for the pass and come bets is the same, 1.41%, which means they qualify.
The house edge for the don’t pass and don’t come bets is even lower, 1.36%, but the 0.05% isn’t worth worrying about. Most people prefer to root for the shooter to succeed.
The other bet to think about at the craps table is the odds bet. This is a bet you can only place after making one of the 4 bets I already mentioned and when the shooter has set a point.
This is one of the only bets in the casino that has no house edge. It’s a break-even bet, but it can be expensive.
It can also drive the effective house edge on the money you have in action down to almost nothing.
Here’s how that works.
How the Odds Bet Changes the House Edge for the Better
If you’re betting on the pass line and the shooter sets a point, you can expect to lose $1.41 for every $100 you bet. That’s on average and in the long run.
If you’re playing at a casino that only allows you to place an odds bet at 1X the size of your pass line bet, you can put another $100 into action.
Your expected loss remains $1.41, though, which effectively cuts the house edge in half, from 1.41% to 0.71%.
If you’re able to bet 2X your original bet on the odds bet, you can lower that even further to 0.36%. (You have $300 in action, but your expected loss is still only $1.41.)
The more you’re able to bet on the odds bet, the lower the house edge for all the money you have in action becomes.
It’s clear why betting on the pass line and taking the most odds that you can is an effective strategy. With the odds bet, you can get the house edge in craps lower than 0.5% at least some of the time at the table, making it an even better game than blackjack.
And what’s more, you don’t have to memorize basic strategy to get the low house edge at craps.
You just need a big enough casino bankroll to make the right bets, and you need enough sense to avoid the bad bets at the table – of which there are many.
Any Strategy that Involves Placing ANY Other Bets at the Craps Table Is a BAD Craps Strategy
There’s a reason gambling experts measure bets according to their house edge. That’s because it’s the single best indicator of how good or bad a bet is.
The house edge is a statistical estimate of how much money you’ll lose as a percentage of your original bet over the long run.
If the house edge is 1.41%, the casino expects to win an average of $1.41 every time you bet $100.
If the house edge is 16.66%, the casino expects to win an average of $16.66 every time you bet $100.
Which bet looks like the better bet for the casino?
And which one looks like the better bet for the gambler?
Best Craps Method
It shouldn’t be hard to make the distinction.
Even the best of the bad bets on the craps table are inferior to the 1.41% or 1.36% you can get from the pass, don’t pass, come, and don’t come bets.
And trust me on this:
You can have PLENTY of fun sticking with the basic bets at the craps table.
Betting Systems Where You Raise and Lower the Size of Your Bets Are Bad Strategies
The classic example of this kind of betting system is the Martingale System, where you double the size of your bets after each loss. When you do this repeatedly, you eventually win back the money you’ve lost along with a profit of one unit.
The problem with a system like the Martingale is that you’ll eventually run into a big enough losing streak that it will wipe out all those small profits and then some.
Most people underestimate how quickly a bet’s size gets when doubling after every loss.
They also overestimate how likely they are to avoid long losing streaks.
If you double a $5 bet once, that’s $10.
But if you run into a losing streak of 8 bets in a row, you’re looking at having to bet $640 to make up for your losses.
Also, every roll of the dice is an independent event. The odds don’t change based on how many times you’ve won or lost in a row.
You might think the probability of losing that 8th bet is lower than the likelihood of losing the first one, but the truth is that the dice have no memory. They have the same 6 sides, no matter how many times you’ve lost in a row.
Each bet in craps is an independent event, and any betting system will assume that the odds are changing based on how many times in a row you’ve won or lost.
Money Management Strategies Don’t Hurt Anything, but They Won’t Improve Your Odds of Winning, Either
Money management strategies involve having strict gambling discipline about how much of your bankroll you’re willing to risk before quitting the game. They also require you to stop when you’ve won an arbitrary amount of money.
Money management techniques are often used in conjunction with betting systems.
Here’s an example of a money management strategy in craps:
You decide your bankroll for the session is $250, and you’re playing for $5 per roll of the dice.
Your stop-loss limit is $100, so, if your bankroll drops to $150, you must quit the craps session and go do something else.
Your win goal is $250, so once your bankroll gets up to $500, you must quit the game and go do something else.
This kind of strategy might increase your chances of walking away from the game a winner.
But that’s only because a lot of gamblers will just keep playing until they’ve lost their entire stake. They just don’t generally have a lot of sense about that sort of thing.
The Jury’s Out on Dice Setting or Dice Control
I’ve seen multiple reputable gambling writers express interest and some belief that some craps shooters can influence the probability of specific outcomes. I’m skeptical – in the extreme – but I’ll give it an appropriate amount of credence.
The idea is that you hold the dice a specific way – “setting” the dice – then throw with a minimum amount of force – just enough to hit the back wall and eliminate most of the rolling action.
A controlled shooting expert doesn’t have to be perfect. Instead, they’re trying to be like someone who’s playing darts. They improve the probability enough to change the negative expectation on a bet to a positive expectation.
Best Craps Strategy Ever
You can buy books and videos explaining how to get an edge at craps this way, but I can’t imagine the amount of practice and record-keeping required to have any confidence in your ability to change the odds.
Imagine if you spent 1000 hours trying to learn how to control the dice and coming up short. Maybe you just don’t have the knack for it.
That doesn’t sound like a good deal to me.
I’d rather learn to count cards in blackjack.
Conclusion
Those are the best and the worst of the strategies I know of for playing craps in the casino. I know plenty of people who would disagree with every recommendation I’ve made, but the math behind the game doesn’t lie.
The best strategy is to stick with the bets with the lowest house edge and have as much fun as you can.